The production of whole fresh velvet swimcrab in France is anticipated to decline consistently from 2024 to 2028. In 2024, production is forecasted at 38.3 metric tons, falling to 19.1 metric tons by 2028. This represents a significant contraction over five years.

Year-on-year projections show a steady decrease: 2025 production is expected to drop to 33.5 metric tons (-12.5%), 2026 to 28.6 metric tons (-14.6%), 2027 to 23.9 metric tons (-16.4%), and 2028 to 19.1 metric tons (-20.1%). The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2024 to 2028 is negative, indicating an average decline per year during this period.

Future trends to watch for:

Climate change impacts on marine ecosystems, potentially affecting crab populations.
Changes in regulatory policies regarding capture fisheries in Europe.
Consumer demand shifts towards alternative or more sustainable seafood options.