The forecasted risk of catastrophic health expenditure due to surgical care in Egypt shows a gradual decline from 23.7% in 2024 to 22.7% in 2028. The year-on-year variations from 2024 to 2028 are as follows: 2025 (-1.27%), 2026 (-1.28%), 2027 (-0.87%), and 2028 (-0.87%). The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over this five-year forecast period is approximately -1.06%.
Factors such as healthcare policy reforms, economic conditions, and advancements in surgical care access will be crucial in influencing future trends. Monitoring these elements can provide insights into whether the decline in catastrophic health expenditure risk continues beyond the forecast period.