In the latest forecast for road traffic injury mortality in the Philippines, the expected rate is 12.5 deaths per hundred thousand persons in 2024, gradually increasing year-on-year to 12.8 by 2028. This upward trend highlights an incremental annual growth rate, translating to roughly 0.8% each year. Given the base rate in 2023 as the context, the year-on-year variation from 2023 to 2024 is also around 0.8%. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the next five years is similar at approximately 0.8% annually.
Future trends to watch for include potential changes in traffic regulations, infrastructure development, and public health interventions, which could significantly impact this forecast. Monitoring progress in these areas will provide more insights into effectively managing and reducing traffic-related fatalities.