Forecast: Maternal Mortality Ratio in Nigeria

The Maternal Mortality Ratio (MMR) in Nigeria has been on a steady decline from 951 deaths per 100,000 live births in 2013 to 860 deaths in 2023, demonstrating a trend of improvement in maternal health outcomes. Over the last two years, the year-on-year decrease in MMR has been around 1.03%-1.04%, indicating a consistent reduction. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the past five years was approximately -1.04%, showing an annual improvement in reducing maternal mortality.

Future MMR projections from 2024 to 2028 suggest a further decline, with a forecasted annual reduction rate of approximately -0.86%. By 2028, the MMR is expected to decrease to 814 deaths per 100,000 live births, marking a total reduction of 4.24% over five years.

Trends to watch for in the future include the impact of healthcare policies, improvements in healthcare accessibility, and the implementation of maternal health programs to further reduce maternal mortality rates in Nigeria.

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