The distribution of orange juice in China has shown volatility over the past decade. Starting with a value of 117.0 Thousand Metric Tons in 2013, the volume saw significant fluctuations, reaching a low in 2015 and a notable recovery period thereafter. By 2023, the distribution volume stood at 147.04 Thousand Metric Tons, displaying a modest year-on-year growth of 3.61% compared to 2022. Over the last five years, the distribution achieved a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 5.9%, indicating consistent positive growth despite the fluctuations of previous years.
Looking forward, the forecast suggests a continued increase in volume, with an estimated 172.04 Thousand Metric Tons by 2028, reflecting a 5-year CAGR of 2.49%. This growth trajectory underscores a projected stabilization in distribution volumes, with an overall forecasted growth rate of 13.08% over the next five years.
Future trends to watch for include changes in consumer preferences towards healthier beverage options, advancements in distribution logistics, and potential impacts from global trade policies and domestic agricultural production efficiency. Additionally, market players should consider the role of e-commerce platforms and shifts in retail dynamics as key factors influencing the distribution landscape.