The wheat production in Poland has shown variability over the past decade. From a peak of 11.67 million metric tons in 2017, production declined to 9.52 million metric tons in 2023. The largest year-on-year drop was in 2018, with a 17.38% decrease. The past five-year CAGR stands at -0.25%. Compared to 2022, the production in 2023 saw a slight decline of 1.3%.
Future forecasts suggest a continued decrease in wheat production, with an anticipated five-year CAGR of -1.13%, resulting in a projected output of 8.86 million metric tons by 2028. This indicates a 5.51% total reduction over five years.
Future trends to watch for include the impact of climate change, advancements in agricultural technology, and shifts in EU agricultural policies, which could potentially stabilize or alter the downward trend in wheat production.