Based on the forecasted data for Baccille Calmette Guérin (BCG) vaccine immunization coverage in Saudi Arabia, the vaccination rate for children aged 1 year old is projected to decline slightly. The coverage is expected to be 90% in 2024, decreasing to 89% from 2025 to 2027 and settling at 88% in 2028. The starting coverage rate in 2023 was 90%, indicating a consistent yet small decline over the period.
Year-on-year percentage variations for the last two years show a reduction of approximately 1.11% from 2024 to 2025 and then stability in 2026 and 2027, with another 1.12% decrease in 2028. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the five-year period projects a minimal average decline of 0.56% per year.
Future trends to watch for include potential impacts of new vaccination policies, public health initiatives, or possible outbreaks of diseases that BCG vaccine targets. Monitoring global vaccine supply chain issues and local healthcare infrastructure developments will also be crucial for understanding long-term trends in BCG immunization coverage.