Forecast: Fixed Broadband Subscriptions in Germany

The fixed broadband subscriptions in Germany have shown a steady increase over the past decade, culminating in 45.69 subscriptions per hundred persons in 2023. From 2013 to 2018, the average year-on-year growth rate was around 3%, with the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) also stabilizing around 3%. However, from 2019 to 2023, the growth rate gradually slowed, with the year-on-year variation dropping to 1.58% in 2023 and the CAGR averaging around 2.09% over the last five years.

Looking ahead to 2028, the forecast indicates a continued but slower growth pattern, with a projected 5-year CAGR of 0.94% and an overall increase of 4.78% from 2024 to 2028.

Future trends to watch for:

• The impact of emerging technologies such as 5G and fiber optics on broadband subscription rates.
• Potential market saturation as subscription growth rates decline.
• Government policies and investments in digital infrastructure.