In 2023, the railway transport volume of radioactive material in Germany was at 17 thousand metric tons. From 2024 onwards, forecasts indicate a continual decline, with volumes predicted to decrease by approximately 13.3% from 2023 to 2024, and by 13.3% each subsequent year, tapering to 8 thousand metric tons by 2028. This consistent downward trend results in a five-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately -13.3%.

Future trends to watch for:

Germany's strategic shift toward renewable energy may further reduce reliance on nuclear energy, affecting transport volumes of radioactive materials.
Changes in nuclear waste management policies might influence the future trajectory of these transport volumes.
Innovations in transportation technologies or logistics could alter the efficiency and methods of transporting such materials.