The forecast for the share of U.S. scientific publications in music among the world's top 10% cited publications shows a consistent year-on-year increase from 2024 to 2028. Starting at 12.3% in 2024, the share is projected to reach 12.95% by 2028. This reflects an average compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 1.3% over this period, suggesting a steady enhancement in the impact and recognition of U.S. music research globally.
Future trends to watch include the potential influence of emerging music technologies and interdisciplinary research on citation impact. Additionally, the role of collaboration and funding in shaping the prominence of music research will be key.
