The primary fruit production in Japan is projected to decline from 2.6528 million metric tons in 2024 to 2.3644 million metric tons in 2028. Compared to the production value of 2.7282 million metric tons in 2023, the year-on-year decrease projected for 2024 is 2.77%. Subsequent annual declines are forecasted to be 2.80% in 2025, 2.82% in 2026, 2.85% in 2027, and 2.88% in 2028. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the five-year period from 2024 to 2028 indicates an average annual decrease of approximately 2.82%.

Future trends to watch for include:

Potential impacts of climate change on fruit cultivation and yields.
Government policies and initiatives aimed at supporting agricultural productivity.
Technological enhancements and innovations in fruit farming.
Shifts in consumer preferences and potential market expansion for organic and locally sourced produce.