The arable and permanent cropland agricultural area in Mexico has shown a persistent decline from 25.02 million hectares in 2013 to 21.29 million hectares in 2023, registering a year-on-year decrease of 1.09% in the last year of actual data. Over the past two years, the area has decreased by 1.1% on average. The five-year CAGR leading up to 2023 is -1.19%, indicating a continuous reduction in cropland area. The upcoming forecast suggests this trend will continue, with the agricultural area expected to decrease to 20.06 million hectares by 2028, showing a projected 5-year CAGR of -0.94% and an overall reduction rate of -4.6% from 2024 onwards.
Key future trends to watch for include:
- Technological advancements in agriculture that may mitigate the declining cropland area through increased productivity.
- Environmental regulations or policies aimed at land preservation and sustainable farming practices.
- Economic factors that influence land use, such as changes in crop profitability and market demand.
