The forecast for fresh apricot imports in the US shows a consistent declining trend from 2024 to 2028. In 2023, the actual import volume stood higher than the projected figures, indicating a gradual decrease over the forecasted period. From 2024 to 2025, there's a decline of 6.4%, followed by a 6.8% drop from 2025 to 2026, a 6.4% decrease into 2027, and a 7.8% contraction by 2028. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) across these five years reflects an average annual decline.

Future trends to watch for include:

Potential impacts of climate change on apricot production in export countries.
Shifts in consumer preferences towards locally grown produce as awareness of environmental impacts increases.
Trade policy changes that could influence import costs and volumes.
Increased competition from alternative fruits that might affect apricot demand.