Forecast: Import of Bituminous Coal to South Korea

From 2013 to 2023, the import of bituminous coal to South Korea experienced notable fluctuations. In 2023, the value of imports stood at USD 16.412 billion. Year-on-year variation spiked significantly in certain years, such as 2017’s 65.05%, but experienced declines, such as 2015’s -19.1%. Over the last two years, the import value saw incremental growth, with a 3.08% increase in 2022 and a 2.93% rise in 2023. Most recently, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the last five years stood at 2.27%.

Future projections from 2024 to 2028 suggest a steady upward trend with a five-year CAGR of 2.18%, culminating in a forecasted import value of USD 18.852 billion by 2028, representing an overall growth rate of 11.38%.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • Global economic fluctuations impacting coal prices.
  • Shifts in South Korea’s energy policies towards renewable sources.
  • Technological advancements in energy efficiency and their impact on coal demand.
  • Geopolitical factors affecting trade relations and supply chain stability.

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