In 2023, the final consumption of gas oil and diesel oil in Germany's commercial and public services was recorded at 4.63 million tonnes of oil equivalent. Moving forward into the forecast period from 2024 to 2028, a consistent decline is anticipated, with a decreasing trend seen each year. From 2024 to 2025, the consumption decreases by approximately 5.2%, followed by a 5.5% decline in 2026, a 5.8% reduction in 2027, and a 5.9% decrease by 2028. Over the five-year period, this reflects a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately -5.4%.

Future trends to watch for include:

The potential increased adoption of alternative energy sources, which could further reduce the reliance on traditional fuels.
Stronger policy regulations aimed at carbon emissions reduction could accelerate this downward trend in consumption.
Technological advancements in energy efficiency might impact consumption rates more significantly.