Forecast: Capital Health Expenditure in Indonesia

Based on the forecasted data, Indonesia's capital health expenditure expressed as a percentage of GDP is expected to decrease gradually from 2024 to 2028. In 2024 and 2025, the expenditure is forecasted to remain steady at 0.12% of GDP. However, starting in 2026, there is a downward trend, with the percentage dropping to 0.11%, 0.097% in 2027, and further down to 0.088% by 2028. These values suggest a shrinking investment in healthcare relative to the country's GDP over time.

Year-on-year variations highlight slight decreases in the later years:

  • From 2026 to 2027: -11.36%
  • From 2027 to 2028: -9.28%
The compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2023 to 2028 is also negative, indicating an average yearly decline in capital health expenditure relative to GDP.

Future trends to watch for include government policy changes, economic growth rates, and healthcare demands influenced by demographic shifts. Monitoring these factors will be crucial in assessing whether Indonesia can reverse this downward trend and ensure adequate investment in its healthcare infrastructure.

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