Forecast: Energy Supply of Natural Gas in Poland

The natural gas supply in Poland has shown a generally upward trajectory from 2013 to 2023, increasing from 13.74 to 19.03 Million Tonnes of Oil Equivalent. Between 2013 and 2023, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) was approximately 3.37%, with the energy supply showing year-on-year increases predominantly over the past decade. Notable increases occurred between 2016 and 2021, where year-on-year growth often surpassed 4%, peaking at 7.47% in 2020. Over the most recent two years (2022-2023), the growth rate moderated to around 2% annually.

Looking forward, projections for 2024-2028 suggest a continued yet more moderate increase, with a forecast CAGR of 1.55% and cumulative growth of 7.99% over this period. This indicates a deceleration compared to historical rates.

Future trends to watch for:

  • Technological advancements in natural gas extraction and distribution.
  • Policy changes regarding renewable energy adoption.
  • Fluctuating global natural gas prices and their impact on supply and demand in Poland.
  • Infrastructure investments for energy sustainability and efficiency.

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