Between 2013 and 2019, international tourism receipts for travel items in Indonesia displayed notable growth, peaking at $16.911 billion in 2019. This positive trend was abruptly interrupted in 2020 due to the COVID-19 pandemic, causing an 80.42% year-on-year decline. The sector rebounded swiftly in 2021 with a significant 228.56% increase, achieving near pre-pandemic levels. In 2022 and 2023, the receipts continued to recover robustly, showing a 52.63% and 28.66% year-on-year growth, respectively, and stood at $21.37 billion in 2023. Since 2023, a projected steady growth is expected with a 5-year CAGR of 4.82%, reaching $29.022 billion by 2028.
Future trends to watch for include technological advancements and digital marketing strategies to attract tourists, sustainable tourism practices gaining traction, and potential geopolitical factors impacting global travel patterns. Close monitoring of these factors will be critical for strategic planning and forecasting in the tourism sector.