The import of non-electrical lamps and lighting fittings to South Africa is expected to decrease significantly over the next five years. In 2023, the volume stood at 580.00 thousand kilograms. Starting in 2024, the forecasted value is 517.88 thousand kilograms, representing a drop of approximately 10.7%. The trend continues in subsequent years with a 12.0% decrease in 2025, 13.4% in 2026, 15.1% in 2027, and 17.4% in 2028. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the forecasted period from 2024 to 2028 is estimated to be -11.2%.

Future trends to watch for include:

The impact of technological advancements in lighting solutions, which could further diminish the demand for non-electrical lighting fittings.
Changes in consumer preferences towards more energy-efficient lighting methods.
The influence of economic factors and potential shifts in import policies or tariffs that could affect the import volume.
The potential increase in local production and its impact on import volumes.