Based on the forecasted data for the primary fruit yield in Nigeria, the yield is anticipated to grow steady from 63.11 thousand hectograms per hectare in 2024 to 64.21 thousand hectograms per hectare by 2028. The year-on-year variation shows consistent growth: from 2024 to 2025, the yield increases by approximately 0.44%; from 2025 to 2026, it grows around 0.44%; from 2026 to 2027, the rise is about 0.44%; and from 2027 to 2028, the increment is approximately 0.41%. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2024 to 2028 is projected to be 0.44% per year.
For reference, the primary fruit yield stood at 62.83 thousand hectograms per hectare in 2023. Over the last two years, we have seen a minor but steady increase of 0.45% from 2023 to 2024.
Future trends to watch for include the impact of climate change on agriculture, advancements in farming technology, government policies to support agriculture, and global market demand for Nigerian fruits. These factors can significantly influence the yield patterns in the coming years.