In 2023, the import of rifles for sporting, hunting, or target-shooting into Japan stood at 2.10 thousand kilograms. Since then, we have forecasted a year-on-year decline: 2024 (-1.43%), 2025 (-2.42%), 2026 (-2.48%), 2027 (-2.54%), and 2028 (-2.60%). Analyzing the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the period from 2024 to 2028 shows an average annual decline of approximately 2.29%.

Given these trends, it will be crucial to monitor the following future trends:

Changes in regulatory policies regarding firearm imports in Japan.
Shifts in consumer behavior towards alternative recreational activities.
The impact of technological advancements and local manufacturing trends on import volumes.