As of 2023, international arrivals in South Africa stood at 16.1 million. In 2024, this figure is forecasted to increase to 16.547 million, representing a 2.8% year-on-year growth. By 2025, arrivals are expected to reach 17.111 million, a 3.4% increase from the previous year. The following years show consistent growth: 2026 at 17.67 million (3.3%), 2027 at 18.223 million (3.1%), and 2028 at 18.77 million (3.0%). Over the five-year period from 2023 to 2028, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is 3.1%.
Future trends to watch for include the impact of global economic conditions on travel, advancements in tourism infrastructure, and South Africa’s marketing strategies and policies to attract international visitors. Additionally, global political stability and climate change effects could influence travel behaviors and international arrival numbers.
