Forecast: Direct Material Input of Non-Metallic Minerals in Sweden

The direct material input of non-metallic minerals in Sweden grew steadily from 93.93 million metric tons in 2013 to 126.1 million metric tons in 2023. This represents a consistent upward trajectory marked by varying growth rates. Significant growth spikes were observed in 2015 and 2017, with respective year-on-year increases of 6.92% and 9.25%. Over the last two years, growth has slowed to more moderate rates of 1.57% in 2022 and 1.52% in 2023. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the past five years (2018-2023) stands at 1.57%, demonstrating a stable but gradually decelerating trend.

Looking forward, the forecasts suggest continued growth at a slightly decelerated pace, with a five-year CAGR from 2024 to 2028 projected at 1.08%, culminating in a 5.5% increase over this period to 134.98 million metric tons by 2028. Future trends to watch for include potential impacts from economic shifts, sustainability initiatives, and technological advancements aimed at reducing material input needs.