Forecast: Tax Expenditure on Coal for All Beneficiaries or Sectors in Canada

In 2023, tax expenditure on coal in Canada stood at 10.96 million USD. As per forecasts, by 2024, this figure will decrease to 9.2 million USD, indicating a concern for a year-on-year reduction that continues through 2028. The annual reductions amount to approximately 20.9% in 2025, 24.7% in 2026, 32.5% in 2027, and 48.3% in 2028, displaying a swift downward trend. Over the five-year period ending 2028, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) reflects a significant average annual decline.

In terms of future trends to watch for:

  • Monitoring the impact of Canada's ongoing shift towards sustainable energy resources and its implications on coal tax expenditure.
  • Evaluating how policy shifts towards reducing carbon emissions might further accelerate the decline in coal tax expenditure.
  • Assessing market response in terms of energy prices and coal demand, influenced by both regional policies and global energy trends.

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