The volume of oil pipeline national transport in Germany has seen significant fluctuations over the past decade. In 2023, the volume stood at approximately 20.28 million metric tons. There was notable growth from 2013 to 2015, with year-on-year increases of 4.57% and 5.67% respectively. However, this trend reversed with a sharp decline of 4.7% in 2016, followed by more fluctuations. The most severe drop occurred in 2020, with a reduction of 17.72% year-on-year, likely influenced by global disruptions. Recovery attempts were visible in 2021 and 2022 with positive year-on-year changes, but the overall average variation per year over the last five years recorded a slight decline of 0.058%. The forecast for the next five years estimates a continued gradual decrease with a 5-year CAGR of -0.71% and an overall reduction of 3.49% by 2028.
Future trends to watch for include:
- Geopolitical and economic factors that may impact oil supply and demand.
- Shifts toward renewable energy and sustainable alternatives influencing oil pipeline usage.
- Technological advancements in pipeline infrastructure and efficiency.
- Regulatory changes and environmental policies affecting oil transport in Germany and Europe.
