The forecast for fresh surmullet production in French capture fisheries indicates a gradual decline from 2024 to 2028. Starting at 2.04 thousand metric tons in 2024, production is projected to decrease steadily by 0.10 thousand metric tons each year, reaching 1.64 thousand metric tons by 2028. This downward trend reflects a consistent year-on-year decrease of approximately 4.9%. Over the five-year period, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) suggests an average annual decline of 5.2% in production volumes compared to 2023.

Future trends to watch for:

Potential impacts of regulatory changes aimed at conservation.
Effects of climate change on marine ecosystems affecting surmullet availability.
Advancements in sustainable fishing techniques and their adoption rate.
Market demand fluctuations and their influence on production strategies.