The forecast for the share of Brazilian scientific publications in aerospace engineering within the top 10% most-cited globally shows a slight decline from 6.68% in 2024 to 6.62% in 2028. This suggests a minor, consistent decrease over the forecasted period. In 2023, this share was already declining from previous highs, though exact historical data isn't provided. The year-on-year variation shows a continuation of this downward trend with an overall negative compound annual growth rate (CAGR) across the five-year forecast horizon.
Future trends to watch include technological advancements in aerospace research, innovation incentives from Brazilian institutions, and global collaboration efforts. These factors could potentially reverse or slow down the current declining citation trend by enhancing research quality and visibility.
