The area fully converted to organic farming of pome fruits in the UK is forecasted to decrease from 938 hectares in 2024 to 864 hectares by 2028. This represents a steady decline over the forecast period. Specifically, from 2024 to 2025, there is a 2.03% decrease; from 2025 to 2026, a 1.96% decrease; from 2026 to 2027, a 2.10% decrease; and from 2027 to 2028, a 2.04% decrease. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the five-year period is approximately -2.00% indicating a consistent downward trend.

Future trends to watch for:

Potential shifts in consumer demand towards organic products could influence future pome fruit farming practices.
Policy changes or incentives for organic farming may alter the forecasted trends.
Technological advancements and increased efficiency in organic farming could potentially mitigate the declining trend.