The forecast for the import of fresh or chilled whole salmon to Japan indicates a gradual decline from 2024 to 2028. In 2023, the import volume stood at 19.056 million kilograms. Year-on-year, the forecast shows a consistent decrease of around 1.1% each year. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2024 to 2028 is negative, reflecting an average annual reduction in import volume.

Future trends to watch for include:

Potential shifts in consumer preferences, possibly driven by sustainability concerns or changes in dietary trends.
Impact of global supply chain fluctuations, especially concerning environmental and economic policies affecting aquaculture.
Competitive pressure from alternative protein sources and other seafood imports that might influence the overall import demand for salmon.