Forecast: National Railway Passenger Traffic in Italy

Italian National Railway Passenger Traffic experienced consistent growth from 2013 to 2019, reaching 55.21 billion passenger kilometers. The substantial downturn occurred in 2020 due to the COVID-19 pandemic, with a remarkable 43.13% drop. Recovery was swift in 2021 with a surge of 72.18%. By 2023, the value stood at 58.53 billion passenger kilometers, showing a 1.39% year-on-year increase. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) from 2018 to 2023 was 1.31%. Forecasts suggest continued but moderate growth with a 1.11% CAGR until 2028, cumulatively resulting in a 5.66% rise.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • Technological advancements in railway systems that could drive efficiency improvements and passenger satisfaction.
  • Policy changes and environmental regulations promoting sustainable transportation, possibly enhancing railway attractiveness over other options.
  • Potential economic fluctuations or pandemics impacting travel behavior and passenger traffic.
  • Infrastructure investments, including high-speed rail expansions, which could boost long-term passenger traffic.