Between 2013 and 2023, Kenya's maize production has demonstrated notable fluctuations. The production value in 2023 stood at 4.1383 million metric tons. The year-on-year variations reflect several years of significant declines followed by recovery and periods of growth, with significant yearly increases in 2015 and 2018 at 8.88% and 25.98%, respectively. However, the production declined notably in 2016 and 2017, with reductions of 12.71% and 4.58%, respectively. Over the last two years (2022 and 2023), the production saw positive changes of 1.55% and 1.49%, respectively. The 5-year period average growth (CAGR) from 2018 to 2023 is at 0.61%.
Future projections from 2024 to 2028 suggest a consistent upward trend in maize production, growing by an average annual rate (CAGR) of 1.17%, with an expected overall increase of 5.98% by 2028. This indicates a steady but modest growth trajectory. Factors to watch for in future trends include climate change influences, policy adjustments, and technological advancements in agricultural practices, which could impact yield efficiency and sustainability efforts.
