In 2023, Germany's tax expenditure on natural gas stood at a level that set the stage for the subsequent years' forecasted expenditures. The forecast indicates a gradual decline in tax expenditure from 2024, with values decreasing from $856.86 million to $813.02 million by 2028. Year-on-year, the tax expenditure is expected to decrease, with the annual growth rates showing minor declines: 2025 sees a -1.52% change, followed by -1.37% in 2026, -1.22% in 2027, and -1.11% in 2028. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over this period is -1.29%.

Future trends to watch for:

Policy changes impacting natural gas taxation may alter these forecasts significantly.
Technological advancements in renewable energy could reduce reliance on natural gas, affecting tax expenditure.
Macroeconomic factors, including energy demand fluctuations and inflation rates, may influence future expenditure trends.