The forecasted share of corresponding/leading authors in scientific publications in Radiology, Nuclear Medicine, and Imaging in Italy shows a gradual decline from 2024 to 2028. The share is predicted to drop from 92.37% in 2024 to 91.93% in 2028. This trend follows a minor decrease pattern, indicating a consistent, albeit slow, reduction in the share of corresponding or leading authors.
The year-on-year change indicates a slight decrease of approximately 0.12% annually between each subsequent year, suggesting a subtle but steady downtrend. Over the five-year forecast period from 2024 to 2028, there's a minor compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of -0.12% per year.
Future trends to watch for include:
- Potential growth in international collaborations may influence the ratio of corresponding authors who are based in Italy.
- The impact of technological advancements and new collaborative tools could alter authorship dynamics.
- Shifts in academic or funding policies might either mitigate or exacerbate the downtrend in leading author shares.