Forecast: Share of Corresponding/Leading Author in Scientific Publications in Music in the UK

In 2023, the share of corresponding/leading authors in scientific publications in music in the UK was slightly above 94.5%. The subsequent forecast from 2024 to 2028 suggests a gradual decrease in the share, starting from 94.46% in 2024 to 93.75% in 2028. This indicates a consistent but slight downward trajectory.

Year-on-year percentage variation reflects a steady decline, with minor differences each year. Over the five-year period, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) highlights an average decrease, demonstrating a subtle shift in corresponding/leading author share dynamics.

Future trends to watch for:

  • Influence of collaborative efforts and consortia in music research.
  • Impacts of open-access and interdisciplinary research approaches.
  • The role of technology in reshaping authorship dynamics in this field.

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