The forecast for aviation gasoline imports to the UK indicates a consistent decrease from 2024 to 2028. Starting at 652.3 Terajoules in 2024, the value is expected to decline year-on-year, reaching 631.6 Terajoules by 2028. As of 2023, actual imports stood slightly higher, marking the beginning of this downward trend. The year-on-year decline averages around 1% during this period, suggesting a modest contraction in demand or shifts in sourcing strategies. Over the five-year forecast period, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) reflects a steady average annual decrease in aviation gasoline imports.
Future trends to watch for include the impact of advancements in sustainable aviation fuels, potential regulatory changes, and evolving travel demands post-pandemic, which might alter the forecast's trajectory. Additionally, geopolitical factors could affect both the availability and pricing of aviation gasoline, influencing future import levels.
