The road freight volume for the electrical installation sector in France is set to experience a significant decline, with forecasts predicting a decrease from 24.0 million tonne-kilometers in 2024 to 11.0 million tonne-kilometers by 2028. For context, in 2023, the volume was recorded at 26.0 million tonne-kilometers. This represents a projected year-on-year decrease of 12.5% between 2024 and 2025, 19.0% between 2025 and 2026, with further declines of 17.6% and 21.4% for the subsequent years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2024 to 2028 depicts an average yearly reduction of approximately 15.6%.
Future trends to watch for include advancements in electric logistics and eco-friendly transportation methods, which may counteract some volume reduction. Additionally, shifts in demand for electrical installations and technology innovations in freight may alter forecasted trends. Observing policy changes related to sustainability could also significantly impact future freight volume projections.
