In 2023, the final consumption of gas oil and diesel oil (excluding biofuels) in Germany's commercial and public services stood at 194.22 thousand terajoules. Forecasts indicate a consistent decline from 2024 to 2028, with a year-on-year decrease of 5.23% in 2025, 5.46% in 2026, 5.73% in 2027, and 6.01% in 2028. Over the five-year forecast period from 2024 to 2028, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is expected to be negative, highlighting a significant reduction in consumption at an average annual rate.
Future trends to watch for include:
- Ongoing shifts towards renewable energy sources affecting fossil fuel consumption.
- Potential regulatory changes aimed at reducing carbon emissions.
- Technological advancements in energy efficiency within commercial and public sectors.
- Impacts of energy security and geopolitical factors on fuel supplies and prices.
