In 2024, France’s rail transport is projected to consume 1.05 thousand gigawatt-hours of Gas Oil and Diesel Oil, excluding the biofuel portion. This marks a downward trend from previous years, reflecting a continuous shift possibly influenced by environmental policies or shifts toward cleaner energy. Consumption decreases year-on-year, from a 9% reduction in 2025 to a significant 11.8% decrease by 2028. The forecast projects a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of approximately -10% over the span from 2024 to 2028, suggesting a consistent decline in traditional diesel fuel use in rail transport.
Future trends to watch for include further policy shifts to electric or alternative clean energy in rail transport, technological advancements in fuel efficiency, and potential incentives for reducing carbon footprints. Monitoring governmental and environmental policy changes will be crucial for adapting forecasts and strategies in this sector.