The bioenergy transformation output in Germany is projected to decline from 2024 to 2028. Starting at 9.08 million tonnes of oil equivalent in 2024, the forecast indicates a year-on-year decrease, culminating at 8.69 million tonnes in 2028. The annual decrease generally ranges around 1.0%, signifying a shrinking trend. In 2023, the output stood at 9.18 million tonnes. Over the five-year period, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) shows a consistent decline, averaging about -1.1% per year.
Future trends to watch include technological advancements that could increase efficiency in bioenergy production, potential regulatory changes, and shifts in Germany’s energy policy towards more sustainable sources, which could stabilize or reverse the declining trend.