Forecast: Mortality Caused by Road Traffic Injury in Sweden

In 2023, the mortality rate caused by road traffic injuries in Sweden stood at 2.8 deaths per hundred thousand persons. From 2013 to 2023, the trend showed some fluctuations, with notable spikes in 2014 and 2018. However, the general trend from 2013 to 2023 has been a downward one, highlighted by an 11.43% year-on-year reduction in 2013 and a similar 13.89% drop in 2019. From 2019 to 2023, the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) was -4.9%, indicating a relatively steady decline. Between 2021 and 2022, the year-on-year reduction continued at 3.45%. Looking at the forecasted data, the rate is expected to decrease further to 2.4 deaths per hundred thousand persons by 2028, representing a forecasted CAGR of -2.33% over the next five years.

Trends to watch for in the future might include the impact of advancements in vehicle safety technologies, increased adoption of autonomous driving, and improved infrastructure, all of which could further reduce the mortality rate from road traffic injuries. Continued efforts in public education and enforcement of traffic laws are also critical factors that may influence future trends.