The forecast for 2024 to 2028 indicates a gradual decline in the share of corresponding/leading authors in scientific publications in Ecology, Evolution, Behavior, and Systematics in Brazil, from 92.75% to 92.67%. This represents a slight year-on-year decrease, reflecting a consistent trend over the five-year forecast. In 2023, this share stood at 92.75%, suggesting that the decline began in 2024. The average annual variation (CAGR) over this period reflects a small downward shift.
Looking ahead, future trends to watch include potential shifts in international collaborations, changes in publishing dynamics, and the role of open-access journals in the ecosystem, which could impact the corresponding author share indirectly. Observing trends in educational and governmental support policies in Brazil will also be crucial to understanding future variations.
