From 2013 to 2023, Italy's import of oranges has shown variability. The initial years experienced fluctuating imports, marked by significant changes in year-on-year variations ranging from -36.79% in 2016 to +69.05% in 2017. By 2023, the volume stood at 207.72 million kilograms, reflecting more stable yet modest growth patterns with a year-on-year variation of +1.74%. The trend from 2019-2023 displays an average annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately +3.28%.

Forecasts from 2024 onward predict a steady increase in imports, reaching 224.44 million kilograms by 2028. This suggests a 5-year growth rate of about +6.27% and a forecasted CAGR of +1.22%, indicating modest but consistent growth.

Future trends to watch include:

Potential influences of climate change on orange production in exporting countries.
Impact of trade policies and tariffs on import volumes.
Consumer preference shifts towards organic or locally produced fruits.