The forecast for Germany's intra-EU27 paper and cardboard waste exports indicates a gradual decline from 2024 to 2028, dropping from 1.7876 million metric tons to 1.6768 million metric tons. Estimated year-on-year decreases reflect consistent contraction, with a CAGR indicating an average annual decline over this period.
In 2023, the exports were estimated at approximately 1.816 million metric tons, signaling the onset of the downward trend observed in the subsequent years. This contraction hints at macroeconomic influences, regulatory pressures, or changes in demand dynamics.
Future trends to watch for include potential regulatory shifts towards sustainability, technological advancements in recycling, and evolving trade relationships within the EU. These factors could alter the trend or impact Germany's waste export strategies.