Over the past decade, the share of transport services imports in Nigeria has exhibited significant volatility. The period from 2013 to 2023 saw substantial fluctuations with a notable peak in 2016 and a considerable dip in 2018. The most recent two years, 2022 and 2023, continued to show variability with a strong rise in 2022 followed by a decline in 2023. The 5-year CAGR leading up to 2023 stands at 15.71%, indicating a robust average annual growth despite the irregularities.
The forecast from 2024 to 2028 suggests a stabilization, with values plateauing around 42.21 units by 2028. The forecasted 5-year CAGR reflects a slight average annual decline of -0.04%, translating to a marginal shrinkage of -0.18% over the forecast period.
Future Trends to Watch for:
- Potential impact of global economic fluctuations on transport service costs.
- Nation's infrastructural developments potentially influencing import dependencies.
- Government policies and trade agreements that may affect import dynamics.
- Technological advancements in transport and logistics.
- Shifts in global supply chain structures.