The number of diesel motor coaches, buses, and trolley buses in France showed an upward trend from 2013 to 2019, peaking at 88.38 thousand units in 2019. However, starting in 2020, a declining trend emerged, with the value standing at 82.85 thousand units by 2023. Over the past five years, the average variation per year (CAGR) was -1.08%. The year-on-year percentage changes reflect this trend, notably with decreases of 2.72% in 2022 and 2.42% in 2023.
Looking forward, the forecast indicates a continued decline, with the number of units expected to fall to 72.37 thousand by 2028, resulting in a forecasted 5-year CAGR of -2.16% and a cumulative growth rate of -10.34% over the next five years.
Future trends to watch for include the impact of environmental policies encouraging the adoption of electric and alternative fuel buses, which could accelerate the decline in diesel-powered units. Additionally, advancements in public transportation infrastructure and technologies will likely shape the market dynamics in the coming years.
