The number of establishments in the coal mining sector in Brazil is projected to decline steadily from 2024 to 2028. From 2024 to 2025, the data forecasts a reduction of about 6.3%. From 2025 to 2026, a further decrease of 6.6% is anticipated. This downward trend continues with a 6.9% drop from 2026 to 2027, and the decline accelerates slightly with a 7.3% decrease from 2027 to 2028. Annually, the average compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over these years is estimated to be approximately -6.8%, indicating a consistent contraction within the sector.

Future trends to watch for:

Transition towards renewable energy sources might accelerate, further decreasing the number of coal mining establishments.
Environmental regulations and policies may intensify, impacting coal mining operations.
Advancements in mining technologies could influence efficiency and employment, possibly stabilizing the sector.