The forecast for China’s share of scientific publications in the visual arts and performing arts fields among the world's top-cited 10% shows a consistent upward trend. In 2023, the share was measured at 13%. Over the period from 2024 to 2028, the projected growth highlights an increase from 13.75% in 2024 to 15.75% in 2028, showcasing a steady annual growth. Year-on-year, the increase ranges approximately from 3.6% to 3.3%, indicating a positive trajectory. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over these five years is a stable 3.5% per annum.

Future trends to monitor include:

Impact of increased government and institutional funding in arts research.
Collaboration between Chinese institutions and international bodies to enhance citation impact.
Technological advancements that may drive innovation in research publication methodologies.
Shifts in global citation networks and their effects on Chinese authorship prominence.
Policies focusing on quality over quantity in research outputs.