The forecasted cotton supply in South Africa shows a slight but consistent decline from 193.0 thousand units (480 lb. Bales) in 2024 to 191.0 thousand units in 2028. For comparison, the base year—2023—stood at 194.0 thousand units. The year-on-year variation from 2024 to 2025 is -0.52%, and from 2025 to 2026, it remains steady at 0%. The years 2026 to 2027, and 2027 to 2028 show a further -0.52% decrease each. Over the last two years, the average decline was approximately -0.52%. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) from 2024 to 2028 is around -0.26%, indicating a gradual yearly decrease in cotton supply.
Future trends to watch for include potential impacts of climate change, technological advancements in cotton farming, and shifts in domestic and international market demands. Changes in government policies and international trade agreements could also significantly influence the cotton supply dynamics in South Africa over the coming years.
