The forecasted share of corresponding or leading authors in visual and performing arts publications in Germany illustrates a gradual decline from 94.55% in 2024 to 94.14% by 2028. Historically, the share was higher than 94.55% in 2023, indicating a consistent trend of slight decreases year-on-year. This pattern reflects a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) that is negative, suggesting a modest reduction over the five-year forecast period.

As we look to future trends, several factors could influence these numbers:

Increased international collaboration could cause shifts in authorship dynamics.
The rise of interdisciplinary studies might impact the way authorship is shared among different fields.
Changes in academic publishing practices could also play a role in the variation of leading author shares.