In South Africa, the total number of scientific publications in ophthalmology has demonstrated significant volatility over the years. Actual data indicates an upward trend from 2013 to 2015, then a significant drop in 2017, followed by varying year-on-year changes culminating in a value of 29.43 publications in 2023, representing a 4.51% increase from the previous year.
The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for the past five years stands at 10.42%, indicating a healthy upward trend, albeit with some fluctuations. Looking ahead, the forecast for 2024 and beyond suggests a steady growth pattern with a forecasted 5-year CAGR of 2.8% and an overall growth rate of 14.82% by 2028, reaching 35.2 publications.
Future Trends to Watch For:
- Continued growth in research output driven by advancements in ophthalmologic technology and treatments.
- Potential impacts of policy changes and funding in healthcare research.
- Variations influenced by global health trends and collaborative international research efforts.
